發(fā)布:2025-06-06 瀏覽:0
森林資源資產(chǎn)評估是自然資源管理領(lǐng)域的重要環(huán)節(jié),其核心價值在于科學(xué)量化森林生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)、生態(tài)與社會效益,為資源交易、生態(tài)補(bǔ)償、政策制定提供決策依據(jù)。當(dāng)前評估實(shí)踐已形成一套多維度的技術(shù)體系,涵蓋市場比較、收益還原、成本重構(gòu)及生態(tài)服務(wù)功能量化等路徑,需結(jié)合具體場景選擇適配方法。
Forest resource asset assessment is an important part of natural resource management, and its core value lies in scientifically quantifying the economic, ecological, and social benefits of forest ecosystems, providing decision-making basis for resource trading, ecological compensation, and policy formulation. The current evaluation practice has formed a multidimensional technical system, covering paths such as market comparison, revenue restoration, cost reconstruction, and quantification of ecological service functions. It is necessary to choose appropriate methods based on specific scenarios.
市場比較法以交易實(shí)例為基準(zhǔn),通過構(gòu)建可比指標(biāo)體系實(shí)現(xiàn)價值推算。評估師需篩選近期同類森林資源交易案例,重點(diǎn)分析立地質(zhì)量、林分結(jié)構(gòu)、林齡階段、權(quán)屬特征等核心參數(shù)。例如,在評估用材林時,需對比單位面積蓄積量、優(yōu)勢樹種比例、采伐限制條件等指標(biāo);若涉及生態(tài)公益林,則需側(cè)重生物多樣性指數(shù)、水源涵養(yǎng)能力等生態(tài)屬性。通過建立修正系數(shù)模型,對交易價格進(jìn)行區(qū)位、時間、權(quán)能差異調(diào)整,最終確定評估對象價值。該方法要求市場數(shù)據(jù)充分透明,對特殊林種或新興交易模式存在適用局限。
The market comparison method uses trading examples as a benchmark and constructs a comparable indicator system to achieve value estimation. The appraiser needs to screen recent similar forest resource trading cases, focusing on analyzing core parameters such as site quality, stand structure, forest age stage, and ownership characteristics. For example, when evaluating timber forests, it is necessary to compare indicators such as unit area volume, proportion of dominant tree species, and logging restrictions; If it involves ecological public welfare forests, emphasis should be placed on ecological attributes such as biodiversity index and water conservation capacity. By establishing a correction coefficient model, the transaction price is adjusted for differences in location, time, and power to ultimately determine the value of the evaluated object. This method requires full transparency of market data and has limitations in its applicability to special forest species or emerging trading models.
收益還原法聚焦森林資源的未來收益能力,通過現(xiàn)金流折現(xiàn)模型量化經(jīng)濟(jì)價值。評估過程需構(gòu)建完整的收益預(yù)測體系,包括主伐收入、間伐收益、林下經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)出等直接收益,以及碳匯交易、生態(tài)補(bǔ)償?shù)葷撛谑找妗P璨捎脛討B(tài)分析方法,結(jié)合林分生長模型預(yù)測不同階段的蓄積量變化,并考慮市場價格波動、經(jīng)營成本變動等風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素。例如,在評估碳匯功能時,需依據(jù)國家核證自愿減排量(CCER)方法學(xué),計(jì)算特定周期內(nèi)的碳儲量增量及交易價格。該方法對評估師的專業(yè)判斷能力要求較高,需準(zhǔn)確把握森林經(jīng)營方案與市場趨勢。
The income restoration method focuses on the future profitability of forest resources and quantifies their economic value through a discounted cash flow model. The evaluation process requires the construction of a complete income prediction system, including direct benefits such as main logging income, thinning income, and understory economic output, as well as potential benefits such as carbon trading and ecological compensation. It is necessary to use dynamic analysis methods, combined with forest growth models, to predict changes in stock volume at different stages, and consider risk factors such as market price fluctuations and changes in operating costs. For example, when evaluating the carbon sequestration function, it is necessary to calculate the carbon storage increment and trading price within a specific period based on the National Certified Voluntary Emission Reduction (CCER) methodology. This method requires a high level of professional judgment ability from assessors, who need to accurately grasp forest management plans and market trends.
成本重構(gòu)法以替代性原則為基礎(chǔ),計(jì)算恢復(fù)或重建同等效用的森林資源所需投入。該方法適用于幼齡林、防護(hù)林等難以直接產(chǎn)生收益的林種評估。評估內(nèi)容包括林地整理、苗木栽植、撫育管護(hù)、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施等直接成本,以及資金時間價值、經(jīng)營風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等間接成本。例如,在評估退化林地修復(fù)價值時,需量化土壤改良、植被恢復(fù)、生物防治等全周期投入。成本法需防范過度依賴歷史數(shù)據(jù)導(dǎo)致的滯后性,需結(jié)合區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平動態(tài)調(diào)整參數(shù)。
The cost reconstruction method is based on the principle of substitutability, calculating the investment required to restore or rebuild forest resources with equivalent utility. This method is suitable for evaluating forest species that are difficult to directly generate benefits, such as young forests and protective forests. The evaluation includes direct costs such as forest consolidation, seedling planting, nurturing and management, and infrastructure, as well as indirect costs such as time value of money and operational risks. For example, when evaluating the restoration value of degraded forest land, it is necessary to quantify the full cycle investment in soil improvement, vegetation restoration, biological control, etc. The cost method needs to prevent the lag caused by excessive reliance on historical data and dynamically adjust parameters based on the level of regional economic development.
生態(tài)服務(wù)功能評估是森林資源價值拓展的重要方向,涵蓋水源涵養(yǎng)、固碳釋氧、保育土壤、生物多樣性維持等維度。評估需采用物質(zhì)量評估與價值量核算相結(jié)合的技術(shù)路線,例如通過水文模型計(jì)算森林調(diào)節(jié)徑流、凈化水質(zhì)的物質(zhì)量,再結(jié)合替代工程成本或市場交易價格進(jìn)行價值轉(zhuǎn)換。在生物多樣性評估中,需運(yùn)用物種豐富度指數(shù)、生態(tài)系統(tǒng)完整性指數(shù)等指標(biāo),構(gòu)建生態(tài)價值評估模型。此類評估需依托多學(xué)科交叉研究,確保評估結(jié)果的科學(xué)性與政策適配性。
Ecological service function assessment is an important direction for expanding the value of forest resources, covering dimensions such as water conservation, carbon sequestration and oxygen release, soil conservation, and biodiversity maintenance. The evaluation needs to adopt a technical approach that combines material quality assessment with value accounting, such as calculating the material quality of forest regulated runoff and purified water quality through hydrological models, and then combining it with alternative engineering costs or market transaction prices for value conversion. In biodiversity assessment, it is necessary to use indicators such as species richness index and ecosystem integrity index to construct an ecological value assessment model. This type of evaluation needs to rely on interdisciplinary research to ensure the scientific validity and policy adaptability of the evaluation results.
實(shí)踐中,評估機(jī)構(gòu)常采用組合評估策略,以主評估方法為核心,輔以其他方法進(jìn)行交叉驗(yàn)證。例如,在用材林評估中,可結(jié)合市場比較法確定基準(zhǔn)價值,再通過收益還原法驗(yàn)證長期收益能力,最后用成本法檢驗(yàn)重置合理性。這種多維評估體系既能反映市場供需關(guān)系,又能揭示資源內(nèi)在價值,為森林資源資產(chǎn)化管理提供全維度支撐。隨著生態(tài)產(chǎn)品價值實(shí)現(xiàn)機(jī)制的不斷完善,森林資源評估方法論將持續(xù)演進(jìn),推動自然資源向生態(tài)資本轉(zhuǎn)化。
In practice, evaluation agencies often adopt a combination evaluation strategy, with the main evaluation method as the core, supplemented by other methods for cross validation. For example, in the evaluation of timber forests, the benchmark value can be determined using the market comparison method, and the long-term profitability can be verified through the income restoration method. Finally, the reasonableness of the reset can be tested using the cost method. This multidimensional evaluation system can reflect the market supply and demand relationship, as well as reveal the intrinsic value of resources, providing comprehensive support for the asset management of forest resources. With the continuous improvement of the mechanism for realizing the value of ecological products, the methodology of forest resource assessment will continue to evolve, promoting the transformation of natural resources into ecological capital.
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